Why the Networks Cut Exit Polls
The networks and the Associated Press have an insidious plan to help President Obama on Election Day that is being swept under the rug: they are cutting nineteen states from the list of exit polls they will report. For twenty years, all 50 states have been reported, but somehow this year the networks and AP are ignoring 19 of them. Now just how and why were those 19 states selected?
The ostensible reason given is the rising cost of the surveys. Dan Merkle, director of elections for ABC News, and a member of the consortium that runs the polls, said the goal “is to still deliver a quality product in the most important states.”
So just which states are being ignored? Alaska, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Kentucky, Louisiana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming.
The Washington Post tried to gloss over the scheme, noting “how carefully the exit poll planners allocated resources. All 19 of the states with no exit polls are classified as either “solid Obama” or “solid Romney.”
Really? Of the nineteen states (including Washington, D.C.) exactly 4 are for Obama, with a total of 14 electoral votes. The fifteen Romney states add up to 135.
It is utter hogwash that the exit polls were cut from these states because they were in the bag for one of the candidates. If Texas is cut, how about New York and California?
The real reason the consortium has cut these states is that they know that if they report fifteen states coming in for Romney early, independent voters in other states will take notice and be swayed his way.
There is no way that the networks and AP can rationalize their decision without damning themselves with their obvious partisanship. In 2008, the major media outlets were in the tank and lined up for Obama, but it was done under the radar. Now it’s all-encompassing. They are goose-stepping in public.
Personally I don't pay any attention to exit polls and I don't know anyone who does. They do an exit poll, they get a rather vague idea of how many may have voted one way or the other. The reason I say vague is because there's absolutly no way they can have exit poll takers in every single voting place in the country and there is really no way they can ask EVERY SINGLE person who walks out of any one voting place who they voted for. Really, while they're asking two people, 4, 5 or more walk right past them since there is no legal requirement to go to them and disclose who you voted for.
Agreed. Nobody I know is going to change their vote or decide to vote based on what somebody in Rhode Island or Utah said in an exit poll.
I don't care about exit polls because those numbers are skewed. You never know if the person participating in the exit poll is lying.
They really have no beneficial significance, so get rid of all of them, imo.